首页> 外文OA文献 >Forecasting the prices for ferrous scrap as a key factor of the resourcing system of metallurgical enterprise
【2h】

Forecasting the prices for ferrous scrap as a key factor of the resourcing system of metallurgical enterprise

机译:预测废铁价格是冶金企业资源配置系统的关键因素

摘要

The article examines the aspect of the resourcing system, or more specifically the system of ferrous scrap provision at metallurgical enterprises that operate electric steel production facilities. It is determined that the primary goal of this system is to minimize the cost of resources. This is also a necessary precondition for enhancing the competitiveness of an enterprise as the impact of negative environmental factors on the steel industry is growing. Purchase prices for ferrous scrap that are set by metallurgical enterprises and that represent one of the target indicators of the resourcing system along with the scrap purchase volume essentially depend on market conditions. The price level for ferrous scrap in the Russian market is one of the key factors of the external environment, influencing resourcing and management decisions as to its target indicators. The aim of the article is to create high-quality econometric models of forecasting prices of Grade 3A scrap in the Russian market. The method of multiple regression is chosen among the statistics methods of forecasting that is commonly used for dealing with similar problems of an industrial nature. Considerable attention is paid to practical aspects of forecasting. Three types of up-to-date econometric models are proposed; the interpretation of parameters and the forecast for the period from January to September 2015 are done. A conclusion is drawn about the possibility of using the models in management in metallurgical enterprises. It is expected that the forecast results will contribute to improving the existing resourcing system, especially as regards the preparation of data for further use in the formation of an optimal schedule of scrap purchase volumes for a metallurgical company.
机译:本文研究了资源系统的方面,或更具体地讲,是经营钢铁生产设施的冶金企业的铁屑供应系统。确定该系统的主要目标是最小化资源成本。这也是增强企业竞争力的必要前提,因为不利的环境因素对钢铁行业的影响越来越大。冶金企业设定的,代表资源系统目标指标之一的黑色金属废料的采购价格以及废钢的采购量基本上取决于市场状况。俄罗斯市场上黑色金属废料的价格水平是外部环境的关键因素之一,影响其目标指标的资源和管理决策。本文的目的是创建预测俄罗斯市场3A级废钢价格的高质量计量经济学模型。在通常用于处理工业性质类似问题的预测统计方法中,选择多元回归方法。对预测的实际方面给予了极大的关注。提出了三种类型的最新计量经济学模型。完成了参数解释和2015年1月至2015年9月的预测。得出关于在冶金企业中使用模型进行管理的可能性的结论。预计预测结果将有助于改善现有的资源系统,尤其是在准备数据以供冶金公司制定最佳废钢采购量计划时。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号